Markets move in cycles. Always have, always will.
And if you’re in the business of catching outliers, you need to be paying attention to commodity supercycles—because that’s where the biggest trends of all time happen.
Most of the big moves happen quickly.
Just look at this chart from Jurrien Timmer
📈 Sugar +2,239%
📈 Silver +1,158%
📈 WTI Crude +1,365%
📈 Nickel, Palladium, Tin—huge runs over time.
These aren’t little swings. These are generational moves and they happen quickly.
This is why we hunt for outliers.
It’s simple: we look for markets that can go up 10x, not 10% and then leverage the trades.
🔍 Step 1: Identify the Big Cycles – Commodities don’t just move—they explode. Having a system that will position you to catch these big moves is the 🔑
📊 Step 2: Follow the Trend, Not the Narrative – People love to argue about fundamentals. We love to watch price rip higher.
🔥 Step 3: Ride the Wave & Let It Play Out – The key to catching outlier trades is staying in the trend.
The biggest mistakes traders make? Holding on to losers and selling winners too early.
So What’s the Setup Now?
🚀 Are we in a new secular bull? History says yes.
Gold, silver, and energy are just warming up.
If this trend follows previous cycles, we could be looking at another 5+ years of inflationary moves.
🚨 Best Trades Right Now? There is no such thing as the best trade. Stay long what’s working.
Ignore the noise!
And remember…
Commodities are ripping, but the real story here is the dollar.
A weak dollar is fueling this move—international stocks, commodities, and weak-dollar sectors like energy and materials are leading to start the year.
This is a textbook rotation and exactly what we want to see.
Outlier moves like this don’t come often.
Are you in? 🚀
One more thing…
2025: This is another attempt at getting long oil, gasoline, heating oil, and energy stocks in XLE and XOP.
I was talking to a friend today about trading, and I told him—my edge isn’t in being right. My edge is in shutting up and taking the next trade.
Too many people treat trading like a game of being right or wrong when it’s really just a game of probabilities.
The best traders? They’re the ones who can forget the last loser, manage risk, and put on the next damn trade.
That’s the game. That’s always been the game.
And that will always be my biggest edge as a professional.
Against All Odds Research
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