Riding the Momentum: The Next Big Country Trade! A System Addict Journey
Our Country Index Trades Are Taking Off—Here’s the Next One!
“If I’m effective at what I do, it’s only because… I don’t give a fuck.”
Movie: The Killer (Thanks, Andy).
That’s the truth. I care about a lot of things—my family, my dogs, all of you, the bees…
But as much as I think I care, the reality is I’ve trained myself—through sheer repetition—to ignore pain, to shut out my feelings about what’s happening around me.
A lot of things happened in my childhood that wired me this way. And as I got older, the lessons just kept reinforcing it.
When I was 17, an old girlfriend gave me The Fountainhead, and I got obsessed with philosophy. Howard Roark was the hero. He had a code—unshakable.
He lived to create, he followed his passion and he didn’t give a shit about what that meant for his career.
I physically cannot do something I don’t believe in just for wealth or fame. I live and trade by a code.
I live to create.
Music, bikes, sports (of course I always play point guard), coding, construction, pushing the boundaries, writing my thoughts to all of you—this is what I live for.
But when it comes to opinions, the crowd, or what people think of me?
I don’t care and I also don’t care what I think of myself.
I fade my feelings constantly as a trader.
Being an effective trader is about shutting out the noise, even from yourself.
Nothing matters except what your personal signals are telling you.
Systems and Signals
REFLATION is the dominant market regime right now. It’s a risk-on environment where taking on more risk tends to be rewarded because policymakers are either supporting growth or, at the very least, not standing in its way. The market sees nominal economic growth as accelerating or consistently beating expectations.