Against All Odds Research

Against All Odds Research

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Against All Odds Research
Against All Odds Research
The Quiet Breakout Everyone Missed

The Quiet Breakout Everyone Missed

China is leading. Brazil is breaking out. Nobody’s positioned for it.

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Jason Perz
Jun 30, 2025
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Against All Odds Research
Against All Odds Research
The Quiet Breakout Everyone Missed
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China is closing in on the top—and no one’s talking about it.

While headlines focus on domestic drama, China quietly became the top-performing major equity market in 2024 and it is up almost 25% this year. FXI is pressing into the $37.90 resistance zone, and it has a rising 200-day moving average. One close above, and the trapdoor opens for a violent squeeze higher.

You want confirmation? Look at the data.

PMIs are climbing. June's manufacturing ticked up again.
Ports are moving. Mid-June was the busiest shipping week in Chinese history—6.7 million containers.
Flows are surging. Southbound capital just posted its strongest first half ever.
Valuation is cheap.

MSCI China trades at a deep discount versus global peers.

Meanwhile, the “National Team” has been spotted in the tape. State-backed buyers are supporting ETFs. This isn’t guesswork—it’s tracked.

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